Simpson College (IA) at Western Illinois

The prediction

Model margin

Western Illinois −24.5

Win probability

98% Western Illinois

Games behind it

0 / 1

Preseason prior weight

95%

Last updated Nov 2, 10:49 PM ET; locked at tip-off. "Games behind it" is how many games each team (Simpson College (IA) / Western Illinois) had played this season. Early on, the preseason prior (last season and the polls) carries more of the weight.