Kansas City at Jacksonville

The prediction

Model margin

Jacksonville −20

Win probability

94% Jacksonville

Games behind it

1 / 1

Preseason prior weight

90%

Last updated Nov 2, 10:49 PM ET; locked at tip-off. "Games behind it" is how many games each team (Kansas City / Jacksonville) had played this season. Early on, the preseason prior (last season and the polls) carries more of the weight.